Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1879.035900 2053.205438 2231.502975 2427.397680 2636.299182 2852.127849 3091.687222
2024-10-13 1594.866010 1849.608271 2122.053359 2434.014890 2780.219462 3151.534393 3578.753742
2024-10-20 1413.149104 1714.042182 2046.497391 2438.803065 2886.728652 3379.875255 3961.446779
2024-10-27 1225.110352 1547.332558 1913.863712 2357.961338 2877.632209 3462.645787 4166.998473
2024-11-03 1159.974595 1513.766545 1925.698627 2435.328557 3043.205592 3739.337957 4590.794929
2024-11-10 1090.029837 1466.729492 1914.940503 2480.179541 3166.200701 3964.006844 4953.618067
2024-11-17 1006.808307 1396.209945 1869.448852 2477.396802 3227.604724 4112.859966 5225.510620
2024-11-24 921.816431 1316.996104 1807.337317 2448.663852 3252.775636 4214.881734 5439.260320
2024-12-01 870.461131 1277.085858 1790.993087 2473.794592 3341.833263 4392.892274 5744.769061
2024-12-08 813.592421 1225.936670 1756.733610 2473.028713 3396.081297 4526.804798 5996.172191
2024-12-15 781.972923 1206.364096 1761.539958 2520.926009 3511.014018 4735.967702 6341.770928
2024-12-22 727.776823 1152.423294 1717.874294 2502.804802 3539.233844 4835.301893 6550.299681
2024-12-29 703.992832 1140.393242 1730.495386 2560.086652 3667.370127 5064.637223 6928.176174
2025-01-05 664.098237 1103.154623 1706.965337 2567.631365 3729.886330 5210.876939 7202.812311
2025-01-12 626.620623 1067.066875 1682.920484 2572.627653 3787.730914 5350.608645 7469.687160
2025-01-19 563.550077 989.258012 1596.622822 2488.371800 3722.777733 5328.187555 7525.718349
2025-01-26 555.983067 994.792359 1628.785496 2569.007019 3881.342933 5599.723422 7965.540234
2025-02-02 538.858308 984.484539 1637.207454 2615.741467 3993.765827 5811.295082 8329.085769
2025-02-09 508.742184 952.074028 1611.705704 2612.842101 4036.947580 5930.632773 8572.081463
2025-02-16 473.378438 909.218967 1568.731935 2582.903149 4040.991667 5996.579815 8744.169936
2025-02-23 455.056546 892.965393 1564.833767 2609.088875 4123.407852 6168.483680 9058.493879
2025-03-02 431.091235 865.986427 1543.332342 2608.290882 4166.955233 6287.490256 9302.649978
2025-03-09 420.824784 861.460814 1556.058959 2658.192196 4283.092328 6506.614560 9683.536946